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Freelance Geopolitical & Event Forecasting Experts at AI Startup

Lightly AG
Remote, USA
Contract
Entry · 2–3 years experience
Remote
Discovered 2 weeks ago

Full Job Posting

Tasks

Evaluate AI-generated event forecasts by assessing the accuracy and quality of predictions covering elections, central bank decisions, policy announcements, and technology/regulatory events using a provided rubric.

Requirements

  • You’re a strong candidate if you:
  • Have at least 2-3 years of recent experience in political analysis, macroeconomics, geopolitical risk, or policy research
  • Have experience producing or evaluating probabilistic forecasts - election modelling, policy impact assessments, or macro scenario analysis
  • Are familiar with prediction markets (Polymarket, Metaculus) or superforecasting methodologies
  • Are fluent in English (requirement)
  • Have strong analytical and quantitative skills
  • Communicate clearly and precisely

Benefits

  • Work directly with a YC-backed team on cutting-edge AI evaluation projects
  • Competitive compensation tailored to experience and scope of work
  • Send us your CV . If you've done political forecasting, macro analysis, or prediction market research before, we'd love to hear specific examples.

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